Climate-driven food shocks pose a growing risk to global markets. As yields fall and insurance retreats, the next financial crash may start in the fields.
We estimate that global production declines 5.5 × 1014 kcal annually per 1 °C global mean surface temperature (GMST) rise (120 kcal per person per day or 4.4% of recommended consumption per 1 °C; P < 0.001).
It’s a pretty weird and interesting paper. The big idea is that we will have to majorly revamp the agriculture practices to adapt to climate and weather. The climate and the weather would have extreme amounts of damage taken against how we produce food right now. What this paper argues is that we can mitigate some of these losses in many places, and that by shifting what we grow and where we grow it, we can still make farming work to a lesser extent than today…the paper attempts to model what the net future potential would be for a more resilient state.
Anyhow, there will be less food produced even after we adapt.
Without fossil fuels natural bioproductivity of the planet allows for 500 million individuals sustainably, probably a bit less. So some 95% of the population will succumb to excess deaths. The only question is, how soon.
What this paper argues is that we can mitigate some of these losses in many places, and that by shifting what we grow and where we grow it, we can still make farming work to a lesser extent than today
I think this is why Trump wants Canada and Greenland, btw.
That would imply Trump gives a shit about food security or anybody else. He wants those because he would like to be known for adding to homeland territory like all his favourite dictators.
Just want to point out: So, exactly how many things in the last 30 year involving a major revamping of anything that also didn’t ridiculously profit the financial elite actually get enacted?
None you say?
Hmmm… what makes you think this will be any different?
No one in power cares what the scientists or economists say anymore
Nature paper is here: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-09085-w
It’s a pretty weird and interesting paper. The big idea is that we will have to majorly revamp the agriculture practices to adapt to climate and weather. The climate and the weather would have extreme amounts of damage taken against how we produce food right now. What this paper argues is that we can mitigate some of these losses in many places, and that by shifting what we grow and where we grow it, we can still make farming work to a lesser extent than today…the paper attempts to model what the net future potential would be for a more resilient state.
Anyhow, there will be less food produced even after we adapt.
Without fossil fuels natural bioproductivity of the planet allows for 500 million individuals sustainably, probably a bit less. So some 95% of the population will succumb to excess deaths. The only question is, how soon.
I think this is why Trump wants Canada and Greenland, btw.
That would imply Trump gives a shit about food security or anybody else. He wants those because he would like to be known for adding to homeland territory like all his favourite dictators.
You’re a fucking idiot sop sanewashing a demented authoritarian
Just want to point out: So, exactly how many things in the last 30 year involving a major revamping of anything that also didn’t ridiculously profit the financial elite actually get enacted?
None you say?
Hmmm… what makes you think this will be any different?
No one in power cares what the scientists or economists say anymore