

As I understand it, housing speculation has filled a similar role to 401(k)s in the US, the relatively illiquid asset that “always goes up”.
People will feel a lot poorer when their apartment loses 70% of its value, and I don’t think that’s exactly the same as, say, a big leveraged builder going out of business.
You’re right of course the US won’t let one rich man go broke so it is worse there.








I used to own a house free and clear. If the value dropped by half, I would still feel a lot poorer.
When the price of assets held as a store of value drops, the holders of those assets are impoverished. That’s already bad.
Now, when a fall in the price of assets held as a store of value drops, and that triggers a series of defaults that ripples across the financial system, that’s even worse.
I can’t see from the outside the degree to which Chinese society has been financialized, but I’m betting it’s more than the CCP wants to let on.