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Cake day: August 23rd, 2025

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  • Thanks for the link. That’s an interesting way of measuring it.

    About two-thirds of registered voters identify as a partisan, and they are roughly evenly split between those who say they are Republicans (32% of voters) and those who say they are Democrats (33%). Roughly a third instead say they are independents or something else (35%), with most of these voters leaning toward one of the parties.

    Of course we can’t know about adults who are not registered voters, but I would suspect they lean Democrat. I don’t really buy the 50/50 split though because that would be a blowout for Republicans in terms of electoral votes due to FPTP voting. There are also other forms of corruption like gerrymandering that allow Republicans to win elections with a minority of votes.