ah yes, the completely civilian nuclear program that for last month+ was busy using up 5% enriched uranium (on upper range of enrichment in normal reactors) and 20% (usual in research reactors) to get 60% enriched uranium (no civilian applications)
neither. the same kind of propaganda activity targeted at iranian internal audience like after assassination of qasem soleimani. like in 2020, it’s pretty obvious that trump takes this offramp
but also, this time international response is wildly different
in 2020: UK and Qatar called for deescalation, Saudis said they stand with Iraq, Turkey offered diplomatic support for deescalation
today, Saudis, UAE, Qatar (obviously), Bahrain, Kuwait, (countries directly impacted) but also Oman, Jordan, Egypt, Morocco, Lebanon, Turkey, Yemen (Aden) and Palestinian Authority all condemned Iranian strikes
today also iranian proxies are much weaker, and we already know how incompetent their air defences were
they were still a party to NPT the entire time, and they didn’t meet obligations of that treaty for over 20 years. NPT also includes inspections by IAEA
say what you want, they can’t unbomb Fordow so any discussions about future iranian nuclear program are pointless