Everyone is so focused on the genocide angle, but governments left and right throughout the world who were in power during the post COVID inflation spike got the boot. Most economist with froth at the mouth about “deflationary spirals” wherein people who have been waiting 15 years to buy a new pair of pants will wait a couple more years to buy it when prices start going down and thus cause an economic downturn. However, the general public believed that “getting inflation under control” meant going back to the original prices, something the (independent of Biden) federal reserve would never let happen because deflation = bad. Once the inflation spike occurred, Biden could have had 0% inflation from Nov 2022 to the election, and people still would have voted him out due to prices being too high.
Upcoming crisis-es:
-May 2nd : End of De minimis exemption: Orders under $80 will no longer be exempt from tariffs from China
-May 7th: All flights will require a driver’s license with real ID (new licenses after ~2015)
-The X date: Day U.S. spending cap is reached. Earliest is June, expected around August. Would cut off all federal spending including SS and Medicare.
-The X date bill: Bill that would raise the spending cap through reconciliation – but also cut either Medicaid or the Obamacare Medicare expansion. This would lead to, among many things, most rural hospitals being shut down.
-August-September: With the Department of Education no longer working student loans and accommodation requests will be thrown into chaos
-August – November: Harvest season w/o immigrants and w/o USAID contracts. Mass farmer bankruptcy , but limited time cheap food.
-Nov-Dec: Big Box stores see empty shelves due to tariffs. Smaller stores see it earlier, but Target and Walmart will have warehouse inventory until Black Friday.
-Dec-Jan: New COVID variant and flu variants will cause more strain on hospitals due to the previous closures and anti-vac NIH.
Variable dates: Terrorist attacks, something with Russia and Ukraine, Trump “assassination attempt” that turns out to be a false alarm, Trump health scares, and at least one Cabinet member will be forced out due to crimes and/or incompetence.